Apertura Guatemala Fase final Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 1
XIN
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
ANT
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
ANT
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
COB
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
XIN
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |