Antigua GFC vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 4
ANT
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 0
LEO
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ANT
0 - 0
RBN
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANT
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 3
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 2
PAS
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |