SpVgg Ansbach vs Vilzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
17º
13º
9
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 0
ANS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
4 - 1
VIK
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
ANS
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
NUR
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 2
ATS
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
WAC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
VIL
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
TAM
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ILL
5 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 3
VIL
7%
13%
80%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |