SpVgg Ansbach vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
17º
13º
8
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
ANS
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
NUR
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 2
ATS
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ANS
3 - 4
ING
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 4
WAC
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TSA
2 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 0
MAI
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
RWW
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 1
TUR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |