SpVgg Ansbach vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
17º
13º
9
3º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 71 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 70 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 62 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 60 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 59 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 53 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 50 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 39 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 37 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 33 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 20 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 2
ATS
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 4
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ANS
3 - 4
ING
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
ANS
2 - 1
NEU
70%
17%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 4
ANS
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NUR
5 - 1
FRA
41%
22%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NUR
4 - 2
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NUR
4 - 0
SCH
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 0
NUR
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 0
SCH
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |