SpVgg Ansbach vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 1
ANS
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ANS
4 - 0
BAD
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ROS
4 - 1
ANS
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ING
2 - 1
ANS
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ANS
2 - 1
ISM
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 0
NEU
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 1
ERL
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 0
ERB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUB
0 - 1
ERL
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 1
ELT
39%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |