SpVgg Ansbach vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
17º
11º
36
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 1
ANS
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
7 - 1
ANS
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 0
ANS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
WAC
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
BUC
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
TAM
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |