SpVgg Ansbach vs FC Augsburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
15º
13º
50
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MEM
2 - 1
ANS
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ANS
1 - 3
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
5 - 0
ANS
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ANS
2 - 2
BAY
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
NUR
3 - 0
ANS
45%
23%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
5 - 0
AUB
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
1 - 1
BAY
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ILL
3 - 1
AUG
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
2 - 1
SCH
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
MEM
0 - 2
AUG
19%
22%
60%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |