Annecy vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
11º
6º
15
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annecy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
STL
0 - 1
ANN
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
AMI
1 - 0
ANN
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
ANN
0 - 2
DUN
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 1
ANN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 1
ANN
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
CAE
26%
27%
48%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
CLE
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |