Annapolis Blues vs Virginia Dream analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
22%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annapolis Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ABL
5 - 0
FRE
68%
17%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ABL
5 - 0
GSU
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ABL
5 - 1
VIR
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
DMV
1 - 4
ABL
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ABL
4 - 1
FRE
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virginia Dream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 3
VRD
79%
12%
8%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VRD
3 - 0
FRE
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
DMV
1 - 6
VRD
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
GSU
5 - 0
VRD
57%
20%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GLR
1 - 8
VRD
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |