Annan Athletic vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
10º
8º
53
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FAL
3 - 0
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 3
RAI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
ALB
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
BLA
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 0
BLA
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
KHE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
3 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CWB
1 - 1
MON
8%
17%
76%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
STM
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |