Cup 1/32
Global 5-4
Annan Athletic vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
INV
4 - 4
BLA
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 2
ARB
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 0
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ELG
3 - 2
BLA
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
0 - 1
BLA
36%
26%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
INV
4 - 4
BLA
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 0
INV
65%
18%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
INV
4 - 1
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
INV
1 - 1
NAI
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
INV
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |