Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Annan Athletic vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CWB
2 - 2
BLA
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ELG
0 - 2
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
EDI
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
BLA
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
THE
3 - 0
BSC
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
THE
5 - 0
GRE
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
THE
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
THE
4 - 1
STI
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SEL
7 - 4
THE
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -3 |