Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
BLA
59%
21%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
KHE
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EDI
3 - 2
BLA
31%
24%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 1
QOS
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COV
3 - 2
BLA
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
BAN
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |