Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
STR
0 - 1
BLA
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CLY
2 - 0
BLA
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 0
CLY
44%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
STE
1 - 2
BLA
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
BLA
2 - 0
STE
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
DUM
0 - 2
HAM
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DUM
3 - 2
DUN
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DUM
3 - 0
EAS
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |