Annan Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
10º
9º
34
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 5
BLA
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
COV
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 0
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
BLA
56%
22%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
KHE
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 2
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 2
ARB
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
QOS
42%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
COV
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |