Annan Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 0
QUE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
BLA
27%
24%
50%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 2
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
THE
1 - 3
BLA
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 3
ELG
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BER
3 - 1
ARB
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HIB
3 - 1
ARB
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CLY
1 - 1
ARB
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |