ARA vs Mumbai City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LKA
1 - 1
ARA
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GOA
1 - 0
ARA
37%
22%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
ARA
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
GOA
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
HIN
0 - 2
ARA
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +2 |