ARA vs FC Kerala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
5 - 0
MUM
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LKA
1 - 1
ARA
27%
22%
52%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GOA
1 - 0
ARA
37%
22%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
ARA
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
GOA
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Kerala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
KER
3 - 0
BLA
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FAH
4 - 2
KER
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
KER
2 - 1
GOA
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
OFC
1 - 0
KER
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 5
KER
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |