Ankaragücü vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ankaragücü
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ANK
1 - 3
KAY
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SIV
3 - 0
ANK
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ANK
0 - 2
GEN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HAC
0 - 1
ANK
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
ANK
5 - 1
GIR
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
5 - 2
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 5
ARS
25%
25%
51%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
KOC
2 - 3
FEN
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 4
KAY
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
FEN
0 - 0
DYN
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |