Ankaragücü vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ankaragücü
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
GAL
1 - 3
ANK
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
TRA
3 - 1
ANK
76%
17%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
BUR
0 - 1
ANK
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1988 |
ANK
2 - 1
GAL
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
ANK
2 - 2
GAL
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
SAK
1 - 2
FEN
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
FEN
1 - 2
GAL
39%
28%
32%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
SAR
1 - 2
FEN
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1988 |
FEN
1 - 5
SAK
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
FEN
2 - 0
ZON
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |