Ankara Demirspor vs Derince Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ankara Demirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
FAT
0 - 2
ANK
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ANK
1 - 0
TEK
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KAN
1 - 0
ANK
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ANK
1 - 0
BER
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 0
ANK
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
DER
3 - 0
BEL
84%
12%
5%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UMR
2 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DER
1 - 0
OYA
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SIL
0 - 0
DER
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ADI
0 - 1
DER
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |