Çankaya FK vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
16º
11º
35
1º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 59 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 52 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Next round
|
4.5% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Çankaya FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
ANK
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
ANK
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
ELA
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NSG
0 - 2
ANK
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AYV
0 - 2
AFK
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYV
1 - 0
EDI
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KEP
2 - 3
AYV
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AYV
4 - 1
KIR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 0
AYV
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |