Çankaya FK vs Aliaga FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
16º
11º
32
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 59 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 52 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Next round
|
4.5% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Çankaya FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PAZ
2 - 0
ANK
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 0
VIR
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ERG
1 - 0
ANK
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 2
ANK
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 1
EFE
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFK
4 - 0
KIY
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 0
PAZ
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
AFK
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AFK
3 - 0
ANA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 1
AFK
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |