Heilongjiang Ice City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
14º
12º
34
4º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 47 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 33 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
14º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heilongjiang Ice City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 0
ANH
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ANH
1 - 2
DAL
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 0
YUN
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HKF
0 - 1
YAN
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
HKF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 1
HKF
17%
25%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
2 - 1
JIA
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
1 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |