Anguilla vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+682%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LCA
2 - 0
AIA
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
1 - 1
AIA
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
AIA
0 - 0
DMA
10%
15%
76%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | +4 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
AIA
0 - 13
PAN
3%
9%
88%
|
6 | 80 | 74 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
DMA
3 - 0
AIA
80%
12%
8%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LCA
1 - 1
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LCA
2 - 0
AIA
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
TTO
1 - 0
LCA
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |