Anguiano vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 0
ANG
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
5 - 1
YAG
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
ANG
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
CDF
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
ANG
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 3
NAX
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BER
4 - 5
VAR
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 5
VAR
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
RIV
76%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
11%
18%
71%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |