Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Anguiano vs Olimpic Xátiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
NOV
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CLH
1 - 1
ANG
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CDE
2 - 3
ANG
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpic Xátiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAL
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 2
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIJ
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
JOV
1 - 3
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
CRE
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |