Angri vs Ilvamaddalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
52.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
17º
12º
38
3º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 1
ACC
33%
23%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ACC
2 - 1
APR
25%
23%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCF
2 - 2
ACC
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ACC
0 - 0
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACC
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -6 |
Matches
Ilvamaddalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ASI
0 - 0
CAS
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
ASI
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
ASI
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |