Angrense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANG
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 2
ANG
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 2
PRA
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
ALJ
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
MOU
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOU
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
QUA
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 2
PRA
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |