Angrense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ANG
4 - 0
PRA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
ANG
53%
23%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
ALJ
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 3
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
MOU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |