Angrense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 2
ANG
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 2
PRA
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
ALJ
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
ANG
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
ANG
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOU
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |