Angouleme vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1999 |
ANG
2 - 1
RAO
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
VAL
2 - 0
ANG
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
ANG
2 - 0
THO
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
ANG
1 - 0
CHA
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
FRE
1 - 0
ANG
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
TRO
3 - 0
AMI
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
TRO
28%
30%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 1
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
LIL
1 - 0
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |