Angouleme vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NIO
1 - 1
ANG
58%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
BLA
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
NIO
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |