Angouleme vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 0
ANG
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAY
3 - 1
ANG
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
AGD
0 - 0
ANG
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 1
BLA
71%
16%
12%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
AGD
58%
24%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
BER
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
BER
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BER
0 - 0
LES
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |