Angouleme vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAB
5 - 3
ANG
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 1
BER
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 0
ANG
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAY
3 - 1
ANG
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
AGD
44%
28%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 1
BAL
46%
27%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
LES
35%
27%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |