Angouleme vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
ANG
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 5
ANG
17%
23%
61%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
4 - 3
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
ANG
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
BER
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ROD
4 - 0
AUR
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 0
AUR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 2
AUR
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
LEG
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |