Angostura vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 0
ANG
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANG
18%
20%
62%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
AIF
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 0
ANG
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
EST
43%
23%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |