Angostura vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
7º
7º
6
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
ANG
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 4
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
ANG
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAR
35%
31%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
APC
1 - 0
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
APC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
APC
0 - 2
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
APC
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |