Angola vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UGA
3 - 1
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
1 - 2
ANG
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 0
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
EGY
2 - 1
ANG
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
0 - 0
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UGA
3 - 1
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 1
UGA
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 0
NIG
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
UGA
1 - 1
LBY
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 2
UGA
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |