Angola vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2000 |
MWI
4 - 5
ANG
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NAM
1 - 1
ANG
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
ANG
1 - 0
NAM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ANG
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
LSO
0 - 1
ANG
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
LSO
3 - 1
ZAM
7%
20%
73%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2000 |
SEN
0 - 0
ZAM
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
SEN
0 - 0
ZAM
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ZAM
1 - 0
KEN
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
ZAM
3 - 0
BOT
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |