Angola vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
ANG
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
COD
1 - 3
ANG
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 1
NAM
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GHA
1 - 1
ANG
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
RWA
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
NGA
3 - 0
IRL
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
JOR
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |