Angola vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
IRN
4 - 0
AGO
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AGO
0 - 0
MDG
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AGO
4 - 2
LSO
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
AGO
0 - 1
MUS
85%
12%
3%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
AGO
20%
27%
54%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
BEN
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
7%
17%
76%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
AGO
20%
27%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 2
MOZ
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |