Angola vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 2
ANG
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 1
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
ANG
0 - 0
UGA
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UGA
3 - 1
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
1 - 2
ANG
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NIG
3 - 1
UGA
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
6 - 2
NIG
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
NIG
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
0 - 2
BEN
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
NIG
1 - 2
ANG
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |