Angola vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
GAM
58%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
BFA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 0
GHA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CGO
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 0
MLI
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 2
MLI
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
MLI
0 - 1
PRK
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 2
MLI
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |