Angola vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
4 - 4
MLI
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
GAM
58%
24%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
BFA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 0
GHA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
MWI
3 - 0
ALG
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 0
MWI
70%
19%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
MWI
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BFA
1 - 0
MWI
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |