Angola vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
3 - 0
ANG
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CTA
3 - 1
ANG
5%
13%
82%
|
70 | 18 | 52 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
COD
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
MAD
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
ZIM
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SYC
0 - 1
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 6
COD
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CTA
2 - 1
MAD
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |