Angola vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TAN
1 - 1
ANG
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ANG
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ANG
3 - 1
KEN
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 2
ANG
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SWZ
0 - 2
ANG
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
YEM
4 - 1
ERI
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ERI
0 - 0
SWZ
10%
17%
73%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
KEN
1 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 66 | 45 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 1
TAN
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 0
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | +3 |