Angola vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
ETH
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 1
ANG
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 0
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ANG
4 - 1
LBR
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GNB
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
GNB
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 2
TAN
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
BDI
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |