Angers SCO vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
18º
14º
30
5º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 9% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angers SCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 1
ANG
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
1 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 4
PSG
8%
15%
78%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ANG
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
4 - 2
ASS
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 1
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 4
LYO
19%
21%
61%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
REI
1 - 1
LYO
26%
24%
50%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASS
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
HOF
2 - 2
LYO
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |